Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.105026 0.116181 0.127587 0.140096 0.153401 0.167103 0.182256
2025-02-02 0.086474 0.103155 0.121039 0.141516 0.164193 0.188424 0.216155
2025-02-09 0.074053 0.094467 0.117270 0.144338 0.175302 0.209344 0.249325
2025-02-16 0.062727 0.085295 0.111489 0.143604 0.181392 0.223954 0.275021
2025-02-23 0.057831 0.082869 0.112840 0.150525 0.195831 0.247784 0.311099
2025-03-02 0.053277 0.080202 0.113364 0.156023 0.208288 0.269161 0.344339
2025-03-09 0.045729 0.072879 0.107420 0.152987 0.209972 0.277452 0.361960
2025-03-16 0.038852 0.065705 0.101019 0.148785 0.209723 0.283032 0.376052
2025-03-23 0.036355 0.064252 0.101835 0.153586 0.220532 0.301952 0.406189
2025-03-30 0.033499 0.061986 0.101329 0.156484 0.228825 0.317748 0.432581
2025-04-06 0.031579 0.060887 0.102262 0.161174 0.239358 0.336331 0.462472
2025-04-13 0.028362 0.057517 0.099783 0.161083 0.243564 0.346937 0.482523
2025-04-20 0.028234 0.059134 0.104683 0.171502 0.262167 0.376515 0.527247
2025-04-27 0.025680 0.056669 0.103584 0.173650 0.269970 0.392631 0.555555
2025-05-04 0.023700 0.054951 0.103454 0.177084 0.279497 0.411044 0.586951
2025-05-11 0.020894 0.051513 0.100495 0.176315 0.283239 0.421961 0.608906
2025-05-18 0.020364 0.052037 0.103592 0.184277 0.298937 0.448518 0.650955
2025-05-25 0.019515 0.051877 0.105562 0.190579 0.312385 0.472219 0.689501
2025-06-01 0.016770 0.047824 0.101070 0.187110 0.312095 0.477709 0.704528
2025-06-08 0.014099 0.043530 0.095869 0.182300 0.309694 0.480233 0.715599
2025-06-15 0.013475 0.043349 0.097465 0.187798 0.321897 0.502301 0.752209
2025-06-22 0.012540 0.042391 0.097669 0.191113 0.330986 0.520236 0.783519
2025-06-29 0.011991 0.042216 0.099189 0.196471 0.343044 0.542251 0.820310